I am trying to figure out how much the 26X production may have trailed off during the end of production...ie, to tell if the production of the 26M is really half as much as the 26X or if 26X production had trailed off dramatically in the last year or two.
I've noticed that people don't post their hull numbers much anymore on Heath's new board as they did on the old board. Well, I guess it is the 26M'ers that are posting their hull numbers more often now since that is the boat currently under production.Duane Dunn, Allegro wrote: The "X" started at #1 in July of 1995 (model year 1996 boats) and the last ones rolled out in December of 2002 with if I recall correctly something in the #5600 range. That represented the production of the factory for model years 1996 through 2002, 7 years, average of 800 boats a year. The 2003 "M" run was certainly less than 400 boats if there are 2004 model year ones out there with hull numbers in the high 300's. I'm not saying this is bad, it's just an interesting observation that the 2003 sales volume of the "M" was half what it was with the "X". No bad reflection on the "M" intended, but this had to be a big hit to the factory and the dealers pocketbooks.
I have a 2000 X, hull number 3575, date code B000 which according to Duane, means my hull was manufactured in February 2000. This makes sense as the boat was delivered a month or two after that. Coincidentally, March of 2000 was the end of the biggest bull market in history and the start of the biggest bear market since the great depression.
Doing some math, there were approximately 3574 Mac26X's built before mine and about 2025 hulls built after mine. This translates to about 63.8 hulls per month during the first 56 months of production and about 59.6 hulls per month during the last 34 months...only about a 6.6% decrease in production. Comparatively, the 26M appears to be having a run rate of only 33.3 hulls per month during the first 12 months of production...a 44% decrease in production compared to the last 34 months of X production.
Joe's point about the 26X being much more novel in comparison to earlier Mac's than the 26M is to the 26X is also quite valid. Also, perhaps the 26M had a much lower turnout in the first few months due to new manufacturing process development. This could imply that the rate actually picked up quite a bit afterwards. Would be interesting to know when 26M hull #200 was produced in relation to hull #400.Joe 26M Time Warp wrote:Although Duane and others might have high hopes, the X didn't have the kind of competition the M does in start up, or the same kind of market conditions.
The earlier 26's weren't 50HP powersailors like the X. The M faces lots of dedicated X'ers without that much more to offer, and over the years some other manufacturers have picked away at MacGregor's market share.
Combine that with a weaker economy generally, and I'm not sure who is really surprised about a first year run of 400 boats, rather than 800. And don't forget our first (hull #32) wasn't received until May and when we got it they hadn't even published a manual yet.
Since it probably took a while for the poorer economy to match a decline in boat orders, I'm wondering what the production rate was during the last 12 months or so of 26X production. It would be interesting to chart the trend more specifically during the last part of the 26X production run. Anyone have a 26X hull number from around December, 2001 or other tidbits to add to this thread?